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BOC Rate Decision: What Does it Mean for USD/CAD?

BOC Rate Decision Talking Points:

Bank of Canada Hold Rates Steady in April

Canada’s central bank held the benchmark overnight lending rate steady at 0.25% this morning – in line with the expectation. Canada’s overnight rate is now 1.50% lower than it was prior to the initial cut in early March.

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BOC Interest Rates

Chart Prepared by Austin Sealey; Canada Overnight Lending Rate

Following the emergency rate cut to close Q1, BOC has remained steady at 0.25% in a decision to avoid further approaching a negative rate. While rates have held, the much anticipated OPEC+ deal to cut some 20M B/D has done little to calm investor’s worries over the battered commodity. This could be a driver for CAD weakness as the month continues to unfold.

USD/CAD BEARISH

Data provided by

of clients are net long. of clients are net short.

Change inLongsShortsOI
Daily16%-28%-15%
Weekly4%-23%-15%

USD/CAD Four-Hour Price Chart

USD/CAD Four-Hour Price Chart

Chart Prepared by Austin Sealey; USD/CAD on TradingView

Although the Canadian Dollar has been continuing to show strength since late March, certain markets such as CAD/JPY have begun to unravel. USD/CAD has been putting in lower highs and lower lows for the better portion of the past month; meanwhile, CAD/JPY has still remained nearly 2.5% off of March highs. That being said, the Canadian Dollar has nonetheless broken under much macro pressure. After retesting monthly lows, USD/CAD price action appeared to be forming a double bottom pattern, and is currently 1.70% above monthly lows.

–Written by Austin Sealey, Contributor for DailyFX.com