A break above the 20-WMA in January 2020 also led the prices up by 28.62 percent to above $10,000. Nevertheless, bitcoin failed to extend the rally as the coronavirus-induced fears led investors to panic-sell their crypto positions in March 2020. But the cryptocurrency’s break above the 20-WMA this time comes ahead of its mining reward halving. The event would reduce bitcoin’s daily supply output from 1,800 BTC to 900 BTC. The last two halvings resulted in exponential price rallies. Traders anticipate the third event would lead to a bitcoin price boom.
Breaking above 20-WMA not always resulted in exponential price gains. In 2018, when bitcoin was undergoing one of its longest bearish corrections, it broke above the curve on nine weekly occasions but failed every time to hold it as support. But, at the same time, there was one additional fractal at play. Bitcoin was trading above its 50-weekly moving average, or 50-WMA, on 7 out of 9 occasions. The cryptocurrency used the long-term wave as its support to retest 2o-WMA but failed to pierce above it for too long.
The doubtful scenario has not deterred bitcoin from registering short-term gains. The cryptocurrency could still rise towards $9,000 to test 50-WMA for a breakout – the wave is near $8,700 as on April 29. On the other hand, a real upside break could lead bitcoin towards $10,000-$11,000 resistance, especially amidst the halving FOMO. That is evident with the rising number of accumulators ahead of halving, as reported by data analyst Glassnode.
The same Bitcoin trigger that sparked 239% rally in April 2019 is back, bitcoinist.com, Apr 29